The Model Senses Draws. Then Buries Them.

KairoX Tempo assigns P(draw) above 0.25 to 60% of the La Liga draws it misses. An investigation into systematic underpricing, venue-specific xG signatures, and whether the decision boundary is the problem.

The Bilateral ROI Hypothesis: Right Structure, Wrong Sample Size

The Bundesliga BTTS model finds positive NO edge in every validation fold. The bootstrap CI is 77 percentage points wide. What an underpowered result tells you about a model, and what it does not.